New home prices drop most in >10 years, regional tides are turning

Eli Rodney
May 23, 2025
Housing+3 more

The housing market is cooling, with new home prices falling 0.4% M/M (down 0.6% Y/Y), well below analyst estimates of a 0.1% gain. Other than a similar drop in October, home prices haven’t posted a bigger monthly decline in over 10 years.

Clearly rates aren’t having a stimulative impact and with underlying inflation picking up, it’s possible that they won’t be a “pullable lever” at all in the near-term.

Regional pricing trends held steady for the most part, with continued struggles in BC and Ontario partly offset by strength in Quebec and the Atlantic provinces…

but look at the Prairies! That’s the third straight monthly drop, as interprovincial migration tailwinds moderate…

… and the market continues to add supply.

Not a great environment shift for Boardwalk (BEI-U), as we highlighted in our Q1 residential REIT recap.

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