TSX companies bought back $20B last quarter, CPI holds steady at 1.7%
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WHAT'S ON TAP
CPI holds steady, key categories moderate
Age demographics favour senior living
Buyback activity ramps up
CFA executive embezzled $5M
Oil completes the round trip
HOT OFF THE PRESS
CPI holds steady, key categories moderate
May’s CPI print shaped up largely as expected, with headline inflation of 1.7% tracking in-line with expectations thanks to continued weakness in energy prices.

While energy costs were the primary driver, inflation across the main buckets (food, shelter, transportation) moderated…

… shelter in particular, falling from 4.5% in January to 3% in May as growth in servicing costs (rent/mortgage) continues to slow down.

For a breakdown of the main categories: https://www.bullpen.finance/content/174
Small deal for Sienna, big tailwinds for LTC
Sienna Senior Living (SIA) expanded its presence in the GTA this week with the $60M purchase of Credit River Retirement Residence, a 133-suite complex (+1.5%) that SIA expects it can increase to 95% occupancy (from 90%) in the first year of operations.

The deal looks accretive but the stock was up small, because that’s not really what’s driving the sector. Age demographics are finally in the sweet spot where demand growth is here and has years of runway…

… justifying a big acquisition pipeline and creating a window for what has historically been a dead money trade to handily outperform markets.

Buybacks ramp up, do valuations justify it?
Canadian companies are ramping up buyback activity again, as evidenced by an aggregate ~$17B spent by ~350 of the largest TSX names last quarter - the most since 2022.

If you’ve kept an eye on market news lately that shouldn’t come as a surprise, but in the context of valuation it’s a bit of a head-scratcher - as the trough multiples that fueled the last buyback cycle are a distant memory.

Combined with the fact that insider activity has been far from bullish this year it should make you wonder, is this the right use of capital right now?
FUNNY BUSINESS
The CFA’s former Chief Marketing Officer was charged with embezzling ~$5M to fund his lavish lifestyle… how ironic.

Turns out ethics don’t matter at the top of the organization, only when you’re on your 8th ZYN and 300th hour of studying ahead of the exam.

INSIDER TRANSACTIONS
Insider | Company | Value |
---|---|---|
Jonathan Krauklis | Propel (PRL) | $180K |
Michael Stein | Propel (PRL) | $1.8M |
Paul Brink | Franco-Nevada (FNV) | $3.3M |
Michael Mauger | Kinaxis (KXS) | $1.0M |
Delaney Fisher | Pan American (PAAS) | $355K |
Sava Kleven | Fairfax (FFH) | $446K |
Chris Vollmershausen | Agnico Eagle (AEM) | $853K |
John Hooks | PHX Energy (PHX) | $229K |
Tony Guoga | Sol Strategies (HODL) | $1.6M |
Per Niklas Frank | Eldorado (ELD) | $310K |
Jakub Brogowski | Kiwetinhok (KEC) | $506K |
Flagging the Propel (PRL) sale, as insiders have been steadily shedding stock since 2024.
ON OUR RADAR
GAINERS & LOSERS
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EARNINGS
YESTERDAY’S EARNINGS
Company | Actual | Consensus |
---|---|---|
🇨🇦 Blackberry (BB) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
🇺🇸 Fedex (FDX) | 6.07 | 6.04 |
TODAY’S EARNINGS
Company | Time | Consensus |
---|---|---|
🇨🇦 NovaGold (NG) | AM | -0.05 |
🇨🇦 AGF Mgmt. (AGF) | AM | 0.41 |
🇨🇦 Evertz (ET) | PM | 0.15 |
🇨🇦 Medexus (MDP) | PM | -0.13 |
🇨🇦 Couche-Tard (ATD) | PM | 0.48 |
🇺🇸 Micron (MU) | PM | 1.61 |
ECONOMIC DATA
YESTERDAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release | Actual | Consensus |
---|---|---|
🇨🇦 Inflation Y/Y | 1.7% | 1.7% |
🇨🇦 Core Inflation Y/Y | 2.5% | - |
🇨🇦 CPI Median Y/Y | 3.0% | 3.0% |
🇨🇦 CPI Trimmed-Mean Y/Y | 3.0% | 3.0% |
🇨🇦 Mftg. Sales M/M Prel. | -1.3% | - |
🇺🇸 S&P Home Price Y/Y | 3.4% | 4.0% |
🇺🇸 Home Price Index M/M | -0.4% | 0.1% |
🇺🇸 Consumer Confidence | 93 | 100 |
🇺🇸 Richmond Mftg. Index | -7 | -7 |
TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASES
Release | Time | Consensus |
---|---|---|
🇺🇸 New Home Sales | 10:00AM | 0.69M |
COMMODITIES
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As alluded to on Monday those >$100 oil calls will have to wait, with the Iran narrative dying down after a ceasefire was reached.

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